Selected outcome
Garriott, 5+ pts
wide spread 47–59%
Garriott, 5+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Garriott, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$242 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Garriott, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$157 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 15¢
- Garriott, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,227 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 79¢
- Garriott, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$305 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Garriott, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.