Selected outcome
Simpson, 27+ pts
wide spread 10–21%
Simpson, 27+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Simpson, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 85¢
- Simpson, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- Simpson, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Simpson, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Simpson, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Simpson, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.7¢ · Ask 21¢
- Simpson, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 13¢
- Simpson, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 9.2¢
- Simpson, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–95%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Idaho's 2nd District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.