Selected outcome
Simpson, 9+ pts
wide spread 85–95%
Simpson, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Simpson, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 85¢
- Simpson, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- Simpson, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Simpson, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Simpson, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Simpson, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.7¢ · Ask 21¢
- Simpson, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 13¢
- Simpson, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 9.2¢
- Simpson, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–95%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Idaho's 2nd District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.