Selected outcome
Casten, 20+ pts
42%
Casten, 20+ pts · 42%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Casten, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Casten, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 77¢
- Casten, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 71¢
- Casten, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 46¢
- Casten, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢
- Casten, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 25¢
- Casten, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 14¢
- Casten, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,042 vol
Bid 91.5¢ · Ask 98¢
- Casten, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 6th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.