Selected outcome
Casten, 5+ pts
95%
Casten, 5+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Casten, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Casten, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 77¢
- Casten, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 71¢
- Casten, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 46¢
- Casten, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢
- Casten, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 25¢
- Casten, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 14¢
- Casten, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,042 vol
Bid 91.5¢ · Ask 98¢
- Casten, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 6th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.