Selected outcome
Bean, 15+ pts
wide spread 72–83%
Bean, 15+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bean, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,528 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.6¢
- Bean, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$374 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- Bean, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Bean, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢
- Bean, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- Bean, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 16¢
- Bean, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.3¢ · Ask 97.4¢
- Bean, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$117 vol
Bid 91.8¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Bean, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 98.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 8th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.