Selected outcome
Bean, 6+ pts
95%
Bean, 6+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bean, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,528 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.6¢
- Bean, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$374 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- Bean, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Bean, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢
- Bean, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- Bean, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 16¢
- Bean, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.3¢ · Ask 97.4¢
- Bean, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$117 vol
Bid 91.8¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Bean, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 98.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 8th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.