Selected outcome
LaHood, 15+ pts
60%
LaHood, 15+ pts · 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- LaHood, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- LaHood, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$327 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 62¢
- LaHood, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$403 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- LaHood, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$239 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- LaHood, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- LaHood, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢
- LaHood, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- LaHood, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- LaHood, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$119 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 16th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.