Selected outcome
LaHood, 9+ pts
wide spread 81–92%
LaHood, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- LaHood, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- LaHood, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$327 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 62¢
- LaHood, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$403 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- LaHood, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$239 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- LaHood, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- LaHood, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢
- LaHood, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- LaHood, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- LaHood, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$119 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 16th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.