Selected outcome
Sorensen, 18+ pts
44%
Sorensen, 18+ pts · 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Sorensen, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 68¢
- Sorensen, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Sorensen, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢
- Sorensen, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 36¢
- Sorensen, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 26¢
- Sorensen, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 5.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Sorensen, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,692 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Sorensen, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,027 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.6¢
- Sorensen, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 78¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 17th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.