Selected outcome
Sorensen, 3+ pts
92%
Sorensen, 3+ pts · 92%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Sorensen, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 68¢
- Sorensen, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Sorensen, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢
- Sorensen, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 36¢
- Sorensen, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 26¢
- Sorensen, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 5.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Sorensen, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,692 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Sorensen, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,027 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.6¢
- Sorensen, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 78¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 17th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.