Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

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Kansas's 4th District

Selected outcome

Estes, 29+ pts

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Estes, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.7¢
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Estes, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$449 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 72¢
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Estes, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
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Estes, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$163 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
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Estes, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$225 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
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Estes, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.2¢ · Ask 21¢
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Estes, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
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Estes, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
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Estes, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Ask 7¢
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Estes, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$722 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 83¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$1,771
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 400 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 4th District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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