Selected outcome
Estes, 8+ pts
79%
Estes, 8+ pts · 79%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Estes, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Estes, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$449 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 72¢
- Estes, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Estes, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$163 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Estes, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$225 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Estes, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.2¢ · Ask 21¢
- Estes, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
- Estes, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- Estes, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Ask 7¢
- Estes, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$722 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 83¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 4th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.