Selected outcome
Gallrein, 30+ pts
wide spread 13–25%
Gallrein, 30+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Gallrein, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- Gallrein, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢
- Gallrein, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$274 vol
Bid 93.3¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Gallrein, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
Bid 92.3¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Gallrein, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 97.8¢
- Gallrein, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,325 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Gallrein, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$266 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Gallrein, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$254 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Gallrein, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$419 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 39¢
- Gallrein, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Gallrein, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 15¢
- Gallrein, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Ask 9.8¢
- Gallrein, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7.3¢
- Gallrein, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$463 vol
Ask 6.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.