Selected outcome
Gallrein, 9+ pts
94%
Gallrein, 9+ pts · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Gallrein, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- Gallrein, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢
- Gallrein, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$274 vol
Bid 93.3¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Gallrein, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
Bid 92.3¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Gallrein, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 97.8¢
- Gallrein, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,325 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Gallrein, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$266 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Gallrein, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$254 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Gallrein, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$419 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 39¢
- Gallrein, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Gallrein, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 15¢
- Gallrein, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Ask 9.8¢
- Gallrein, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7.3¢
- Gallrein, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$463 vol
Ask 6.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.