Selected outcome
Alvarado, 18+ pts
last
5%
Alvarado, 18+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Alvarado, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$91 24h · ~$960 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- Alvarado, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–65%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 65¢
- Alvarado, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Alvarado, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Alvarado, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
last
Ask 6.6¢
- Alvarado, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Alvarado, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$287 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Alvarado, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 6th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.