Selected outcome
Alvarado, 9+ pts
wide spread 11–22%
Alvarado, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Alvarado, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$91 24h · ~$960 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- Alvarado, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–65%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 65¢
- Alvarado, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Alvarado, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Alvarado, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
last
Ask 6.6¢
- Alvarado, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Alvarado, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$287 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Alvarado, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 6th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.