Selected outcome
Republicans, 9+ pts
wide spread 86–98%
Republicans, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.5¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Republicans, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–98%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.8¢
- Republicans, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$296 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 79¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Republicans, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Republicans, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Republicans, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Republicans, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$556 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- Republicans, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Republicans, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$199 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Republicans, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$263 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 14¢
- Republicans, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$238 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- Republicans, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
last
Ask 9.9¢
- Republicans, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
last
Ask 9¢
- Republicans, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.6¢
- Republicans, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 4th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.