Selected outcome
Harris, 23+ pts
5%
Harris, 23+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Harris, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$78 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 46¢
- Harris, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 30¢
- Harris, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$397 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Harris, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,111 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 87¢
- Harris, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$237 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 12¢
- Harris, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Harris, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7.5¢
- Harris, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$980 vol
wide spread 67–78%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 78¢
- Harris, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$759 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 59¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 1st District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.