Selected outcome
Harris, 5+ pts
wide spread 67–78%
77%
Harris, 5+ pts · 77%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Harris, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$78 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 46¢
- Harris, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 30¢
- Harris, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$397 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Harris, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,111 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 87¢
- Harris, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$237 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 12¢
- Harris, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Harris, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7.5¢
- Harris, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$980 vol
wide spread 67–78%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 78¢
- Harris, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$759 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 59¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 1st District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.