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Maine's 1st District margin of victory

Open

Maine's 1st District

Selected outcome

Pingree, 29+ pts

wide spread 39–51%

Pingree, 29+ pts

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Pingree, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$188 vol

    wide spread 86–98%

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?

    82%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 78¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

    71%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 67¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 26+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?

    59%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 63¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 29+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    wide spread 39–51%

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 32+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 26–38%

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 35+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$579 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 38+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol

    wide spread 8–20%

    Bid 8.4¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Pingree, 41+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread <1–11%

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$797
Liquidity
—
Open int.
589 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 1st District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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