Selected outcome
Pingree, 38+ pts
wide spread 8–20%
12%
Pingree, 38+ pts · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Pingree, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$188 vol
wide spread 86–98%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.6¢
- Pingree, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 86¢
- Pingree, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 75¢
- Pingree, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 63¢
- Pingree, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Pingree, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Pingree, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$579 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 30¢
- Pingree, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.4¢ · Ask 20¢
- Pingree, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 1st District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.