Selected outcome
LePage, 12+ pts
wide spread 2–14%
LePage, 12+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- LePage, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$835 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- LePage, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$58 24h · ~$501 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 35¢
- LePage, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 62¢
- LePage, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 14¢
- LePage, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$380 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 24¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 2nd District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.