Selected outcome
LePage, 6+ pts
30%
LePage, 6+ pts · 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- LePage, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$835 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- LePage, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$58 24h · ~$501 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 35¢
- LePage, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 62¢
- LePage, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 14¢
- LePage, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$380 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 24¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 2nd District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.