Selected outcome
McCann, 10+ pts
wide spread 5–17%
McCann, 10+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McCann, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$25 24h · ~$2,824 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
- McCann, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 17¢
- McCann, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,604 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- McCann, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$464 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.