Selected outcome
McCann, 4+ pts
27%
McCann, 4+ pts · 27%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- McCann, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$25 24h · ~$2,824 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
- McCann, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 17¢
- McCann, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,604 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- McCann, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$464 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.