Selected outcome
Lawrence, 16+ pts
4%
Lawrence, 16+ pts · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lawrence, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$42 24h · ~$984 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 23¢
- Lawrence, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,186 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 57¢
- Lawrence, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Lawrence, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 11¢
- Lawrence, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- Lawrence, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,576 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 7th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.