Selected outcome
Lawrence, 4+ pts
wide spread 27–39%
Lawrence, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lawrence, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$42 24h · ~$984 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 23¢
- Lawrence, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,186 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 57¢
- Lawrence, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Lawrence, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 11¢
- Lawrence, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- Lawrence, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,576 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 7th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.