Selected outcome
Rivet, 20+ pts
wide spread 30–41%
35%
Rivet, 20+ pts · 35%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rivet, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Rivet, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,016 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 77¢
- Rivet, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- Rivet, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- Rivet, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,249 vol
Bid 91.6¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Rivet, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
wide spread 30–41%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 41¢
- Rivet, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$99 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- Rivet, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Rivet, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$445 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 8th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.