Selected outcome
Rivet, 8+ pts
wide spread 82–93%
87%
Rivet, 8+ pts · 87%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rivet, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Rivet, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,016 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 77¢
- Rivet, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- Rivet, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- Rivet, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,249 vol
Bid 91.6¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Rivet, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
wide spread 30–41%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 41¢
- Rivet, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$99 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- Rivet, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Rivet, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$445 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 8th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.