Selected outcome
Finstad, 19+ pts
3%
Finstad, 19+ pts · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Finstad, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,806 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- Finstad, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 18¢
- Finstad, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Finstad, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
last
Ask 7.3¢
- Finstad, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.3¢
- Finstad, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$560 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Finstad, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$804 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 1st District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.