Selected outcome
Finstad, 4+ pts
wide spread 39–51%
41%
Finstad, 4+ pts · 41%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Finstad, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,806 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- Finstad, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 18¢
- Finstad, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Finstad, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
last
Ask 7.3¢
- Finstad, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.3¢
- Finstad, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$560 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Finstad, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$804 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.