Selected outcome
Emmer, 19+ pts
wide spread 22–34%
Emmer, 19+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Emmer, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$214 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Emmer, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$349 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 62¢
- Emmer, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$184 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- Emmer, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Emmer, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Emmer, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 14¢
- Emmer, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Ask 9.8¢
- Emmer, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$352 vol
wide spread 85–95%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.4¢
- Emmer, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$273 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 77¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 6th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.