Selected outcome
Emmer, 7+ pts
76%
Emmer, 7+ pts · 76%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Emmer, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$214 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Emmer, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$349 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 62¢
- Emmer, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$184 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- Emmer, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Emmer, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Emmer, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 14¢
- Emmer, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Ask 9.8¢
- Emmer, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$352 vol
wide spread 85–95%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.4¢
- Emmer, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$273 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 77¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 6th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.