Selected outcome
Stauber, 16+ pts
wide spread 19–31%
Stauber, 16+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Stauber, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,096 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- Stauber, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Stauber, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Stauber, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Stauber, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.9¢ · Ask 19¢
- Stauber, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Stauber, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$818 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Stauber, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$189 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 8th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.