Selected outcome
Stauber, 4+ pts
wide spread 63–75%
Stauber, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Stauber, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,096 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- Stauber, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Stauber, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Stauber, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Stauber, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.9¢ · Ask 19¢
- Stauber, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Stauber, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$818 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Stauber, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$189 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 8th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.