Selected outcome
Republicans, 1+ pts
wide spread 55–66%
Republicans, 1+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$43 24h · ~$320 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Republicans, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- Republicans, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 10¢
- Republicans, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.9¢
- Republicans, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,619 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- Republicans, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$413 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.