Selected outcome
Republicans, 15+ pts
6%
Republicans, 15+ pts · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$43 24h · ~$320 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Republicans, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- Republicans, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 10¢
- Republicans, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.9¢
- Republicans, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,619 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- Republicans, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$413 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.