Selected outcome
Republicans, 23+ pts
wide spread 29–41%
Republicans, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$316 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 79¢
- Republicans, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$273 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 72¢
- Republicans, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Republicans, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- Republicans, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Republicans, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$172 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Republicans, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.1¢ · Ask 20¢
- Republicans, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 92.6¢
- Republicans, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 3rd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.