Selected outcome
Republicans, 5+ pts
91%
Republicans, 5+ pts · 91%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$316 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 79¢
- Republicans, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$273 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 72¢
- Republicans, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Republicans, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- Republicans, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Republicans, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$172 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Republicans, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.1¢ · Ask 20¢
- Republicans, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 92.6¢
- Republicans, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 3rd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.