Selected outcome
Democrats, 24+ pts
wide spread 70–82%
Democrats, 24+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Democrats, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.8¢
- Democrats, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Democrats, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Democrats, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Democrats, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Democrats, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Democrats, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,279 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- Democrats, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,773 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 96.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 5th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.