Selected outcome
Democrats, 3+ pts
97%
Democrats, 3+ pts · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Democrats, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.8¢
- Democrats, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Democrats, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Democrats, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Democrats, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Democrats, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Democrats, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,279 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- Democrats, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,773 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 96.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.