Selected outcome
Davis, 1+ pts
wide spread 59–71%
62%
Davis, 1+ pts · 62%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Davis, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$124 24h · ~$744 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Davis, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Davis, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 16¢
- Davis, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Davis, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.