Selected outcome
Davis, 13+ pts
wide spread 4–16%
8%
Davis, 13+ pts · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Davis, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$124 24h · ~$744 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Davis, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Davis, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 16¢
- Davis, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Davis, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.