Selected outcome
Murphy, 24+ pts
Murphy, 24+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Murphy, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 82¢
- Murphy, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Murphy, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Murphy, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 16¢
- Murphy, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Murphy, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.3¢
- Murphy, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$166 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Murphy, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$184 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- Murphy, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 3rd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 3rd District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.