Selected outcome
McDowell, 20+ pts
wide spread 6–18%
11%
McDowell, 20+ pts · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McDowell, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- McDowell, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- McDowell, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- McDowell, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 91.8¢
- McDowell, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- McDowell, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
- McDowell, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 9.7¢
- McDowell, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$675 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- McDowell, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$343 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 6th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.