Selected outcome
McDowell, 8+ pts
wide spread 54–66%
57%
McDowell, 8+ pts · 57%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McDowell, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- McDowell, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- McDowell, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- McDowell, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 91.8¢
- McDowell, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- McDowell, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
- McDowell, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 9.7¢
- McDowell, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$675 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- McDowell, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$343 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 6th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.