Selected outcome
Harrigan, 10+ pts
wide spread 57–68%
66%
Harrigan, 10+ pts · 66%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Harrigan, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- Harrigan, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Harrigan, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
- Harrigan, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Harrigan, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Harrigan, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.4¢ · Ask 18¢
- Harrigan, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Harrigan, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.5¢
- Harrigan, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 10th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.