Selected outcome
Harrigan, 4+ pts
wide spread 80–92%
Harrigan, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Harrigan, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- Harrigan, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Harrigan, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
- Harrigan, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Harrigan, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Harrigan, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.4¢ · Ask 18¢
- Harrigan, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Harrigan, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.5¢
- Harrigan, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 10th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.