Selected outcome
Shaheen, 19+ pts
wide spread 15–27%
Shaheen, 19+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Shaheen, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,713 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.8¢
- Shaheen, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,686 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 59¢
- Shaheen, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,743 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 40¢
- Shaheen, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$747 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 30¢
- Shaheen, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Shaheen, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Shaheen, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,244 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 84¢
- Shaheen, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,109 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Hampshire's 1st District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.